EUR/GBP On Trend

I really like this break in 0.8130 today. Last week, it was support on that break of former weekly lows at 0.8160. Because $EURGBP is good to produce fakeouts, it was the 0.8130 level that would validate and confirm a true break to new lows.


So I was long last week and we can see several spike rallies on the above 4-hour chart. But when Friday’s price action languished below 0.8160, I became convinced that the $EURGBP remained on trend and I changed my stance.

Despite lower prices in housing, the core CPI number released today hit the BoE’s “eyebrow raise” level of 2%. A 2% CORE CPI will have the BoE watching inflation closely this summer. If this number trends upward, Carney will have to readjust his rate raise timeline just stated recently in the Inflation Report last week. That could be very bullish for sterling and substantiate these new midterm lows.


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