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How the CARES Act Impacts your 401k

On Friday, March 27, 2020, after debating and politicking for a week, Congress passed the Coronavirus Aid, Relief and Economic Security Act. The president signed it on Saturday. There are 2 sections dedicated to exemptions for individuals with an employer retirement plan or an individual retirement plan (IRA). From here on, the term, “retirement plan”, only refers to the aforementioned plan types.

CARES ACT IS LAW

The exemptions for funds held in a retirement plan are found in Sections 2202 & 2203 of the CARES Act. If you want the bullet point changes in plain English, SIGN UP above to join our email list. Our readers on the list already have them.

At first glance, there are 2 things great about this. Now, anyone has the ability essentially draw loans on their retirement. Before the bill, you could only draw a loan from a current employer’s retirement plan, leaving capital trapped for young people who have old retirement plans. Secondly, if done right, consolidating old retirement plans now allows you to pay off the distribution without cash out your pocket.

Just keep in mind that these “withdrawals” are actually penalty-free, interest-free LOANS. This money must be paid back.  And, so far, without consequence. It is not explicitly stated what happens when this money is not paid back within the 3-year period. My guess is that you will pay the deferred early withdrawal penalty. But that’s only a guess. I’d watch for Congress to shore that up in a month from now when the Congress comes back from recess. Not sure why they are going on recess in the middle of a pandemic but that’s an entirely different conversation. Hopefully, they are using technology to do virtual town halls with constituents to find out how the next bill can be more impactful for the people and businesses that really need the financial help. 

Consider these exemptions to access to your capital carefully. Since every situation is unique. If you’d like to speak with someone to plan this out accordingly for you, reach out to me and the team at Bay Street.

 

Read more:

  • Read the Senate’s full coronavirus aid package bill (NPR)
  • Pelosi Begins Drawing Up Next Stimulus With More Aid for States (Bloomberg)

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Bernanke Talks Down USD

Bernanke gave a speech yesterday afternoon commemorating the 100-year history of the Federal Reserve. However, it was the Q&A portion of the program where Bernanke revealed that the $FED monetary policy could remain accommodative far long after the 6.5% unemployment rate (forward guidance) was reached. I, myself, was not expecting the $FED chair to be as dovish as he was. US economic data has been fairly positive. The US NFP released Friday was a surprisingly  robust report. The economy seems to be going in the direction the $FED wants and expects it to go. Nevertheless, Bernanke communicated that monetary policy will remain accommodative even as the economy seemed to improve.

From there, the USD was pummeled. $GBPUSD moved nicely from 1.4910 to 1.5050 during Bernanke’s Q&A. Then in a blink of an eye price action jumped to new highs at 1.5193. It was incredible to watch in real-time.

GBPUSD 4HR CHART

Now that $GBPUSD has taken out the Fibonacci retracement levels of the latest bearish wave, all eyes have returned to the 1.5230-70 support-now-turned-resistance zone (yellow). The 50% Fibonacci level of the entire collapse from 1.5750 to 1.4813 lies just above there at 1.5280. Even if price manages to rally above 1.5300, cable remains bearish until there is a daily close above 1.5500. We can expect rallies from current levels to be met viciously with offers. Given capital flows, it makes more sense for swing shorts to come in at 1.5250 and higher in order to take out the 1.4813 lows. Thus, I believe we still have some more $GBPUSD rally left in the very short term.

Trade what you see.

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