The NFP Dollars
- Posted by faithmight
- on February 1st, 2013
As the market awaits the first non-farm payrolls (NFP) release of 2013, the Australian and New Zealand dollars have wildly diverged in price action this week. Historically, the 2 currencies move together given their geographical proximity and relation to commodities. But this past week, the AUD has weakened considerably versus the USD while the NZD continues to rally against the USD. The fundamentals have supported this divergence as the RBA is considering interest rates cuts while the RBNZ remains much more hawkish.
As such, I think any interesting GBP trade idea is one that takes advantage the way the USD reacts to the non-farm payrolls report. If the USD weakens, the better play would be the $GBPNZD as the kiwi will advance more rapidly versus a weak USD as it has all week.
NFP in due to be released in 30 minutes. Given how the aussie and kiwi have traded already this week versus the USD, we can take advantage of either a hit or a miss in NFP expectations without direct exposure to the USD volatility.
The information in this blog post represents my own opinions and does not contain a recommendation for any particular security or investment. I or my affiliates may hold positions or other interests in securities mentioned in the Blog, please see my Disclaimer page for my full disclaimer.comments powered by Disqus
Lydia Idem has been investing in equities for 16 years and actively trading currencies exclusively for 7 years. Her trading style is simple and short term. With a special feel for sterling, Lydia trades almost exclusively the GBPUSD and EURGBP. You can follow Lydia on Twitter and StockTwits... More »
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