The One That Got Away

The $EURGBP has been rangebound between 0.8600 and 0.8470 for 10 weeks. While impressive, this is not uncharacteristic of this currency pair. When it fell below 0.8500, it lingered at the bottom of the range for 3 days. I expected a continuation to the downside after the 3rd day of still pivoting around, and mostly below, 0.8480. I bailed out of a long position hours before the $EURGBP finally broke to the upside respecting the range.

EURGBP daily chart

Now, the pair is at the top of the range moving as high as 0.8575. As long as price closes daily below 0.8600, the range remains intact and we’ll see a move back to 0.8500. This time, I will be more patient.

 

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