When Uncertainty Trumps Doves

Remember this? The inverted head and shoulders pattern is messy but it is underway. As recent as last week, and certainly for the past 5, euros were sold hard to new lows. The ECB nor economic data out of the periphery EZ countries gave investors much reason to hold the currency versus the pound sterling. However, now that QE has started in the Eurozone, the certainty of that dovish cycle is everything right now to the uncertainty wreaking sterling right now.


When we first looked at the reversal potential in $EURGBP, price targeted the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level near 0.8100. However, now that the referendum polls have begun to spook markets and economic data is deteriorating, price has the potential to challenge the former weekly lows at 0.8160.

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