In the second trading day of January 2022, SPX hit $4800 which is the all-time high. Afterwards, SPX experienced lower lows and lower highs which resulted in a fall in price to the 2022 low of $3635 in mid-June 2022. While SPX fell between January and June, it established a couple of resistance levels with the last resistance level before the year’s low being at $4179 which was in the beginning of June.
Since the 2022 current low of SPX which was reached in June at $3635, the price of SPX has continued to rally. This rally has taken the price above the $4000 psychological level. In the last 5 trading days, the price of SPX has been able to close above $4000 as the current price is at $4152. A breakout from the June resistance level may occur and price could reach $4200 but this is not guaranteed.
The reason why the upside movement of SPX can’t be guaranteed is because the momentum on the bulls is waning. On the flip side, whether price reaches $4200 or not, the bears might eventually take over and push price below the current low and a new low might be formed below $3635 as RSI is currently showing that price is overbought on the 4H timeframe.
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