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CRUDE OIL PRICE IN A RANGE

Since the ease of lockdown across different nations, oil price has been on a bull run. Price reached the highest level at $68.05 in March 2021. The last time price reached this level was in October 2018, before the pandemic.

The pandemic caused the price of CL_F to fall to negative prices. There were expectations that the price would rise before the pandemic and we wrote an article on the expected rally in oil price. The article published in 2019, says price could reach $69 per barrel. Using the daily and weekly chart, it was expected, but the pandemic brought about a reversal in price.  However, in March 2021, the price reached $68.05.

The opening price of Oil in 2021 was at $47.20. Oil price was able to appreciate by over 44% this year. Since the price reached the highest level of $68.05 in 3years, price has been in a range. This could mean that $CL_F is consolidating. There are key pointers indicating that this is as a result of increase in Covid-19 variants which poses fresh threats.

Further pointers show the current oil price being greatly affected by a new disease named –Black Fungus linked with Covid-19 patients. Since March 2021, the ranging price of Oil has been between $57.28 and $68.05. Though price has been retesting more of the resistance level at $68.05.

RSI at three instances show that price has been overbought since December 2020. A reversal in price might occur, which might bring the price to $57.70 in a few weeks or months. Despite price movement in the lower region of the Bollinger bands at two times in the last 3 months, price is back to the higher region in the daily time frame.

Crude Oil Price At The Point Of Reversal

The global lockdown made price of Crude Oil fall to the negative region. The price of Crude Oil began to increase when a gradual ease of the lockdown began last year. The highest level crude oil price reached in 2021 was at 67.83. Before 2021, this level was reached in October 2018, which was a year before the coronavirus was declared a pandemic. Prior to the pandemic, the price of crude oil ranged between $42.73 and $66.76, until a dip occurred as a result of the lockdown. The current price of crude is at 61.00 as price has been ranging from 57.28 and 67.83 in the last few weeks. Few countries like Italy is back to lockdown due to spike in Covid-19 cases. Also, some cities in India are not left out. Hopes are currently being dashed due to increase in Covid-19 cases, despite vaccines are being administered across the world.

There are 4 instances of RSI showing price being overbought in the last two years. This year has been bullish with the $CL price, which opened at 47.15 to reach the highest level at $67.83. Towards the end of last month, price has been able to move to the lower region of the the Bollinger bands, which might be an indication of a reversal. If Covid-19 cases continue to rise across the world, the price of $CL might be lowered towards the support level at $35.85.