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ON THE AIR with Futures with Ben Lichenstein

I kicked off the new trading week this Monday morning on the TD Ameritrade Network talking as one of the guests on the Futures with Ben Lichenstein show. Ben and I discussed the full gamut of fundamentals in the forex market for the Australian dollar, the euro, the Japanese yen, the Great British pound and the U.S. dollar.

Enjoy the interview below!

Lydia on TDA Network
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ON THE AIR with F.A.C.E.

The forex markets have been crap. And that’s just to say that for my trading style, I haven’t been able to trade much at all in the past several months. I know myself and I understand that the current market environment has not allowed me to trade my style. The major GBP pairs are all consolidating in the face of a now delayed Brexit, so there really hasn’t been much to do or say about the markets.

So I am thankful for the opportunity to make an appearance with Dale Pinkert and the Forex Analytix Community Experience (F.A.C.E.) during this time in the markets. I think it is important to share the ugly as well as the good in our process and to demonstrate that we don’t always make money at all times in trading. There are times when the best thing to do is really to do NO thing.

Enjoy!

If I can be of service to you, please do reach out. Happy trades!

ON THE AIR with F.A.C.E.

For our first sterling chat of the year, Dale and I got right into my thoughts on Brexit given the upcoming vote in Parliament next week. Other highlights include:

  • What to do with those flash crash wicks?
  • USD weakness persisting but not gaining
  • Yen strength
  • Commodity currencies vs. GBP

Enjoy!

Mentioned: My 2019 Outlook (FaithMightFX)

ON THE AIR with F.A.C.E.

Last week, I had the pleasure to be back on the air with Dale Pinkert and the Forex Analytix Community Experience (F.A.C.E.) audience. We talked all things sterling as we always do. But I also spoke on persistence and patience in trading (especially in this market environment) as well as my thoughts on equity markets as we head into the end of the year.

Check out the full interview below. Enjoy!

ON THE AIR with F.A.C.E.

It’s always a treat joining Dale Pinkert live in the Forex Analytix Community Experience. This is the premier trading room on the internets right now. So it is honor to speak to this audience. To hear, today, how much value I bring to them is humbling. It makes my day to help people in their journey to successfully navigating these markets:

Take a listen below to our masterclass lesson in the GBP in real time after 4 straight months of decline against the USD and new lows versus the JPY. What’s in store for the rest of 2018?

ON THE AIR with F.A.C.E.

I was back on F.A.C.E. early this month on July 5th to chat about the summer trends in the major GBP currency pairs. Since I didn’t post the video here on the blog at that time, I thought it would be an interesting and fun exercise to backtest some of the forecasts I made with Dale at that time.

I spoke about the current downtrend in the $GBPUSD which needed to move higher and close above 1.3350 to reverse the sentiment. Well, we got to 1.3350 last week but sellers came in swift to push the $GBPUSD to new 2018 lows at 1.2956.

At the top of the month, the $EURGBP, after being stuck in a tight range, had just broke above the key 0.8850 resistance level. I spoke about the potential for the $EURGBP to establish a new range between 0.8800 and 0.8950 depending on the market reaction to Brexit news and non-farm payrolls. This week, the $EURGBP reached 0.8950.

The $GBPJPY and the $GBPNZD moved exactly as expected off their failed lows and highs, respectively. The $GBPJPY did break above the major 148 resistance level to new highs last week. The $GBPNZD did break lower too but it moved 300 pips lower I than expected.

So all in all, not bad. Three out of 4 calls is actually quite excellent in this business.
 

 

 


There are ebbs and flows to every market. Trade what you see. Learn how. Or simply invest with a pro. [sponsored]

ON THE AIR with F.A.C.E.

This week, Wednesday, I had the pleasure to be back on the air with Dale Pinkert of Forex Analytix Community Experience. If you didn’t catch it live, you missed the opportunities I pointed out in the $GBPAUD and $GBPJPY.

Weakness has seized the GBP this morning after the recent UK GDP miss on top of the weakness in retail sales and inflation. There is no way the Bank of England raises rates in May or June. And that shift in sentiment now threatens to completely undo the recent GBP rally. See my thoughts ahead of this selloff.

There are ebbs and flows to every market. Trade what you see. Learn how. Invest with a pro. [sponsored]

ON THE AIR with F.A.C.E.

Early this week, I was back on the air with Dale Pinkert. In front of hundreds of live traders in the audience, I walked through my rationale for guppy, a bullish cable, a bearish euro and a continued dumping of the Canadian dollar:

 

There are ebbs and flows to every market. Trade what you see. Invest with a pro. [sponsored]

ON THE AIR with F.A.C.E.

Happy new year to the Forex Analytix team! This team of traders are experts and veterans in forex trading. Many of them I have been following for many years on Twitter (@nictrades, @spz_trader, @forexstophunter) and even before there was a Twitter (@pipczar). But the F.A.C.E. community is also full of many expert traders as well as new traders. So when I am asked to come on the show and discuss my views of the market, I consider it quite an honor. The respect, questions and great feedback I get from this team and audience makes it such pleasure to return.

Dale has such great timing as I made my first 2018 appearance on F.A.C.E. right before the Great British pound went on this monster breakout today. I revealed a few secrets that even Dale admitted he hadn’t heard from me before on his shows. The specific levels have been left far behind after Wednesday’s price action but the trading principles I discuss can be applied even now. Enjoy the show!

Intermarket Action Showing 1st Signs of Concern

The $GBPJPY has a huge wedge on the weekly chart but it has been difficult to catch a move on this currency pair. Shorts at the top of the wedge just above 147.00 level had to contend with choppy price action. After a few weeks price finally broke down lower to the 144.00 support, and former resistance, level. The reason why I don’t think we’ve seen a huge correction is because we have been moving in such a way that allows momentum measured by the RSI to reset. With the measured move lower to the 144.00 support level. When the yen caught any kind of weakness, the $GBPJPY moved as high as 146.76, close to the former highs above 147.00 which are the former lows turned now resistance level. However, I think this one will just continue to grind lower. The price action has stair-stepped all the way down allowing momentum to progress naturally lower in the midst of this very measured move to the downside. Until this week.

GBPJPY WEEKLY CHART

If you look at U.S. equities, the major American stock indices have been making new all-time highs all summer. Equities just keep grinding higher despite the divergence in momentum between price and RSI. The divergence has been recently invalidated with momentum make a new high higher than the previous high. However, the other equity markets in Europe, Great Britain and Japan have all failed to make new highs in tandem with the U.S. markets. In fact, the $DAX has already broken below recent lows and the $NIK has failed to move higher. The weak dollar has clearly supported U.S. equities higher. In converse, the strong euro has been killing European equities as of late. The forex market has certainly been a factor behind the divergence in western stock markets.

DAX WEEKLY CHART

SPX DAILY CHART

And in steps North Korea. The geopolitical tension between North Korea and the United States has been building for months. But this week, the warring ideologies escalated to fighting words. The market closed today below the summer highs for the first time since trump took office this year. This looks to be a first, early signal that the market is starting to crack. Will it be 2007 all over again a decade later? Get ready.