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Tag: FXB

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Sterling Digest, April 6, 2012: the big miss

Lightning
Holiday markets

The one flash of life was NFP as the markets hardly ticked beyond that this Good Friday. While most traders deservedly enjoyed a much longer weekend, today’s thin markets set the perfect stage for a US NFP miss. Very unexpected given the string of positive US data this week but also very much aligned with what Bernanke & Co. having been saying long after those minutes were recorded. The big miss leaves markets gobsmacked for  traders’ return after Easter not far from their NFP-induced peaks.

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Sterling Digest: April 4, 2012

A Bank of England Old One Pound Banknote
Looking ahead to the BoE

UK PMI numbers continue to surprise to the upside this week. While this string of positive data is not enough to declare a robust recovery in the UK, it certainly can be enough to keep the Bank of England from moving on monetary policy tomorrow and allow them to wait-and-see. With ECB out of the way today, traders look ahead to tomorrow’s BoE interest rate announcement.

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Sterling Digest: April 3, 2012

US Dollars
Today was all about the greenback baby

The $FED completely changed the game. While Bernanke had been on the circuit implying more QE was on deck, the minutes revealed a much more hawkish Federal Reserve. And as a result, the USD rallied across the board. Now the question going forward is whether the USD is really gaining strength or are traders being given a USD-selling opportunity?

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Sterling Digest: March 30, 2012


If central banks allow gold to become money, how would they enact QE??

A choppy week has given away to sterling strength with $GBPUSD breaking above the major psychological level at 1.60. Traders say month end flows are to blame for sterling strength when its fundamentals hold a more ominous outlook for the currency. BoE next week will continue these breakouts and trigger some profit-taking as most pairs sit GBP bullish at key levels into the weekend …despite the headlines.

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Sterling Digest: March 28, 2012

Kal's Cartoon on The Economist
All eyes on oil

Sterling manages to stage a decent correction in today’s trading session. Yet, it is the AUD taking it on the chin today as it suffers from a double whammy of commodities weakness and USD strength. It was the only currency pair that sterling rallied higher against without much pullback. The timing with now confirmed Chinese softness (causing the commodities weakness) gives the $GBPAUD legs to run higher.

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Sterling Digest: March 27, 2012

Britain's budget for global business
Weak economy, strong sterling. Go figure.

Sterling refuses to weaken even as economic data slips and members of the BoE still look to add more QE. The $GBPUSD continues to make higher highs at 1.5999 though still remains capped by the major 1.60 level. Even the almighty commodity dollars (AUD, NZD, and CAD) are weak against the GBP. Are we seeing the beginnings of a bear trend reversal in sterling?

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Sterling Digest: March 23, 2012

Beautiful golf course
Enjoy the weekend - my friend and fellow trader has the right idea here

Being wrong early in cable kept me on the sidelines for the rest of the day. A good day to be out as the $EURGBP, $GBPUSD, and $GBPJPY saw whippy sideways actions to end the week. The $GBPCAD, $GBPAUD, and $GBPNZD came off their breakout highs as commodities firmed up a bit today after vicious selloffs all week. The question for the new week is whether sterling continues to consolidate or will the bull trend resume? Until that time. Enjoy the weekend.

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Sterling Digest: March 22, 2012

UK - London: Oxford Street - Marks & Spencer
Most iconic chain store in the UK yet retail sales drop

Poor UK retail sales weakened sterling across the board. However, it remains to be seen if this weakness will be sustained or if it merely provides buying opportunities for bulls.

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Sterling Digest: March 21, 2012

I think I see a recovery on the cover of The Economist
UK forecasts 2012 GDP at 0.8%

A big day in UK politics with release of Bank of England minutes and the announcement of the country’s budget produced incredible moves in sterling today.

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Sterling Digest: March 20, 2012

10 pounds down the drain
Down drain into a pile of money

The new trading week may have opened with GBP bullishness but as the Monday session ended sterling slipped across the board into Tuesday’s UK inflation release. Expect GBP to weaken further on softer-than-expected inflation even though it is certainly a good thing for the British economy. Don’t expect much follow through on weakness. Sterling may look weak on fundamentals but recent price action favors GBP.

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