Sterling Digest, February 18 2013: serious shifting

New Design of UK Pound Sterling Coins, Flickr
GBP shifts bearish but not everyone agrees

One of the most interesting bits of news last week that went largely unnoticed was Ray Dalio’s positive take on sterling. Talk about a bold, bullish call in the face of new lows and poor fundamentals. While the week ended with sterling rallying on profit-taking, GBP pairs are still very bearish. $GBPUSD, in particular, is especially vulnerable as it finally shifts below the major 1.5500 level. The $EURGBP is the most bullish GBP pair but that comes at the whim of a weak euro. However, the market hasn’t quite made that weak euro shift yet. And the $GBPNZD has staged a breakout to the downside after 2 years of consolidation. With the BoE minutes and unemployment numbers the only UK releases this week and profit-taking already underway, watch for GBP pairs to shift back to their long-term bear trends or move higher still on more price correction.

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