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March 2022 Forecast Review

March 2022 Forecast Review

In this article, we will be reviewing the forecasts we made in the month of March 2022. We began the month with a forecast on Etsy, and then in the following week, we made a forecast on EURUSD, Netflix, and ExxonMobil. These targets missed, largely due to the bearish downturn of markets globally.

We later made forecasts on currencies. On March 15, we forecasted that GBPUSD will rise to 1.34298. The following week, we made forecasts on EURUSD and NZDUSD. We forecasted that EURUSD and NZDUSD would dip to 1.08236 and 0.67374 respectively. These forecasts hit their targets while GBPUSD didn’t hit.

We forecasted that Apple and AirBnB share price would rally. These forecasts didn’t hit the target. Tomorrow, we’ll look at the forecasts we made in April 2022.

Some of these ideas are in our clients’ portfolios. To understand if this one can work for you or for help to invest your own wealth, talk to our advisors at FM Capital Group. Would you like more information on how to get stocks in your portfolio? Schedule a meeting with us here

February 2022 Forecast Review

February 2022 Forecast Review

In this article, we will be reviewing our forecasts for the month of February 2022. Here we go.

On the 1st of February, we forecasted that stock market index SPX would rise to $4805.68. This forecast was a Miss as the index has been bearish. This bearish wave also made a strong impact on Meta and Lyft which we forecasted would both rally to $381 and $55 respectively. The two forecasts missed as well.

On the 14th of February, we forecasted that USDCAD would fall to 1.24754. This was a Hit! In that same week, we forecasted that cloud computing services provider, Fastly, would rally. Fastly share price eventually didn’t rally.

The following week on the 23rd of February, we forecasted that Gold would rally to $1912. On the 27th, we also forecasted that plant-based meat provider, Beyond Meat would rally to $154. Gold was a Hit but Beyond Meat didn’t hit the target.

Some of these ideas are in our clients’ portfolios. To understand if this one can work for you or for help to invest your own wealth, talk to our advisors at FM Capital Group. Would you like more information on how to get stocks in your portfolio? Schedule a meeting with us here

January 2022 Forecast Review

January 2022 Forecast Review

On January 3, we forecasted that the share price of The Chinese Evergrande might rise to $20. This call was a Miss.

On January 5, we forecasted that Apple share price might drop to $149.07. This call was a Hit. On the same day, we forecasted that S&P 500 would continue its rally. This call was a Miss.

On January 7, we forecasted that WTI Oil to drop to $67.50. This call is in Progress. On January 13, we forecasted that Microsoft share price will rally to $341.48. This call was a Miss. On this same day, we forecasted that Coca-Cola’s share price will drop to $53.90. Price dipped to $54 which means it was a Close Call.

On January 17, we forecasted that Virgin Galactic’s share price would rally to $43.49. This call was a Miss. On January 20, we forecasted that Western Union’s share price would drop to $16.16. This call was a Hit.

Crypto Exchange, FTX, files for bankruptcy amid Financial Misapproriation Issues

Cryptocurrency exchange firm FTX is in a huge financial crisis. Reports say that at least $1 billion of customer funds have “vanished” leaving huge speculations about what really is going on with the Bahamas-based crypto firm owned by 30-year old Samuel Bankman-Fried.

Reports are saying that Sam Bankman-Fried secretly transferred $10 billion of customer funds from FTX to Bankman-Fried’s trading company, Alameda Research. According to some sources, between $1billion and $2billion of this $10B fund could not be accounted for on Alameda’s spreadsheet and they don’t know what became of it.

On Friday, 11th of November 2022, FTX filed for bankruptcy after a rush of customer withdrawals earlier that week. A rescue deal with rival exchange, Binance, fell through, precipitating crypto’s highest-profile collapse in recent years.

Customer withdrawals had surged last Sunday after Changpeng Zhao, CEO of giant crypto exchange Binance, said Binance would sell its entire stake in FTX’s digital token, worth at least $580 million, “due to recent revelations.” Four days before, news outlet CoinDesk reported that much of Alameda’s $14.6 billion in assets were held in the token.

This is a big hit to the global perception of the cryptocurrency market. This event proves that the crypto market is in dire need of regulation so as to avoid similar occurrences in the future. Regulating the crypto space will ensure that there is no trust deficit and investors can be rest assured that their funds are always secure.

EURUSD Bounces From 19-Year Low

In the year 2000, EURUSD had its major support level at 0.82258. In July 2001, a rally began that lasted for years and this rally took EURUSD to an all-time high of 1.60932. This mark was reached in April 2008. Since this high, it’s been lower lows and lower highs for the EURUSD pair.

Daily Chart

In September 2022, EURUSD reached 0.94990 which stands as a 19-year low for the currency pair. After this low, the pair saw a rally that bounced the price upwards to 1.04067 where it currently stands. 

Monthly Chart

However, despite the current bull run, our analysts think that the bears are still in control and the US Dollar will still gain against the Euro. Our analysts forecast EURUSD falling below the 19-year low of 0.94990 in the coming weeks. Though we have RSI indicating that price has been oversold twice, in 2015 & in 2022, on the monthly chart, it is not certain that this indication will lead to a rally for the EURUSD.

Some of these ideas are in our clients’ portfolios. To understand if this one can work for you or for help to invest your own wealth, talk to our advisors at FM Capital Group. Would you like more information on how to get currencies in your portfolio? Schedule a meeting with us here

UNCHARTED Podcast: Episode 7

In this episode of UNCHARTED Podcast, we discuss the Forex Market, Oil Market, and Cryptocurrency Market while touching on the news of a Global Recession and whether we are in one or not. This episode features our analysts who called the Crypto crash while the cryptocurrency market was still going up in late 2021.

On the Forex front, we take a dive into the economic crisis in the UK and its impact on the British Pound Sterling. We go on to talk about the possible reasons why the Sterling is falling against other major currencies. We also look at Oil, the global recession, and the continued dominance of the US Dollar in the Forex market. Lastly, we speak on Crypto particularly Bitcoin and Ethereum and where the price might be headed next.

Watch full podcast here:

Some of these ideas are in our clients’ portfolios. To understand if this one can work for you or for help to invest your own wealth, talk to our advisors at FM Capital Group. Would you like more information on how to get stock indices in your portfolio? Schedule a meeting with us here

USDJPY Reaches New High Since 1990

Analysing the monthly chart of USDJPY between the years 1999 and 2016, an inverted head and shoulders was formed which could have been the determinant for the rally of the pair that began in January 2011. The all-time low of the USDJPY was reached in October 2011 at 75.513. Only six candlesticks on the monthly chart have closed bearish since the rally began in January 2021.

Monthly Chart

The candlesticks in the last two months on the monthly charts have closed bullish. USDJPY’s opening price in October 2022 was 141.672. The bullish momentum that has gathered in the last two month has been able to push the pair to a high in this month at 148.887 which was last hit in August 1990.

Weekly Chart

We might be seeing a price correction to 145 as RSI shows price has been overbought on the weekly chart.

Some of these ideas are in our clients’ portfolios. To understand if this one can work for you or for help to invest your own wealth, talk to our advisors at FM Capital Group. Would you like more information on how to get currencies in your portfolio? Schedule a meeting with us here

AMC Entertainment Holdings Loses 10% In 24 hours

In December 2013, AMC had its IPO at $11.80. Since its IPO, it rallied to form a high at $22 in 2015. In 2016, it fell again to $11.93, a slump that plunged the price almost back to the IPO level. Towards the close of 2017, it rallied back to 2016’s high which completed a double top pattern. 

Daily Chart

The double top led to a price reversal in 2017 as price dipped to $1.23 in 2020 as a result of the global lockdown. There was a relief in 2021 as price rallied to an all-time high at $44.85 which was in June 2021. The following month, which was July, price reversed and a bearish turn began. Since July 2021 till date, AMC Entertainment stock has been falling.

Monthly Chart

In 2022, using the monthly chart, all candlesticks have been trading in the lower region of the Bollinger Bands. Since the all-time high in June 2021, RSI has indicated that price has been overbought. Our analysts forecast a rally to $10 in the coming weeks.

Some of these ideas are in our clients’ portfolios. To understand if this one can work for you or for help to invest your own wealth, talk to our advisors at FM Capital Group. Would you like more information on how to get stock in your portfolio? Schedule a meeting with us here

UNCHARTED Podcast: Episode 6

In this episode of UNCHARTED Podcast, we discuss Cryptocurrencies, Commodities, Stocks, and the prevalence of the US Dollar on the Currencies Market.

On the Cryptocurrency front, we discuss Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana, and what investors in this asset class could expect in the coming weeks and months. On Commodities, we discuss Gold, Brent Oil and WTI Oil. We also made some forecasts on both Oil and Gold. We then looked at S&P 500, Disney, and Coinbase on the Stocks front.

Watch and Enjoy.

Some of these ideas are in our clients’ portfolios. To understand if this one can work for you or for help to invest your own wealth, talk to our advisors at FM Capital Group. Would you like more information on how to get stock indices in your portfolio? Schedule a meeting with us here

Dow Jones Loses Over 5000 Points In The First Half Of 2022

The Dow opened in 2022 at $36,313 and the year kicked off into a rally. For the first two trading days, the Dow continued to rally and on the third day it shot all the way up to $36,943, which now stands as its all-time high. Since the all-time high, price has dipped and every month in this year except for March and May have closed bearish.

Weekly Chart

A little backstory on the Dow. During the lockdown, specifically in March 2020, Dow Jones hit $18,300, a dramatic fall from the then all-time high at $29,550. Following the ease of lockdown, the Dow bulls got back in action and the price began a rally from April 2020 up to January 2022 – a 21-month bull run.

Monthly Chart

Last month, i.e. June 2022, price went as low as $29,642 and the month eventually closed at $30,767. The last time price was at $29,642 was in December 2020. In the next few weeks, we might be seeing price rally to $31,000 from its current price at $30,772.

Some of these ideas are in our clients’ portfolios. To understand if this one can work for you or for help to invest your own wealth, talk to our advisors at FM Capital Group. Would you like more information on how to get stock indices in your portfolio? Schedule a meeting with us here