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Overbought Positions, Yet USDJPY Price Remains Bullish

A major Bullish trend began in March 2018. About 800 pips have moved in favour of the USD pushing the $USDJY higher. The USD remains quite strong in 2018. There has been a major break in the uptrend in May, price only moved downwards from 111.149 to 108.412 before the uptrend continued to new highs at 114.488.

Price action disobeyed the rules of RSI: price has shown overbought positions three times between May and October, and each time the upward movement continued. Could this be the monetary policies made this year, that has favoured the USD? Price is around 112.631 hoping to touch 114.30, which is on the upper band line. Price might begin a downtrend soon but it may touch the upper Bollinger band line before a trace of downtrend. Ichimoku on the daily chart shows no trace of downtrend. We might be expecting 200 pips movement upward.

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