After a short seasonal consolidation in May, $GBPUSD starts June very tentative and hesitant around 1.6750. Because of its year-long uptrend, any weakness of late has been met with bids and, subsequently, price moves higher. However, notice also that rallies continue to be met by sellers. So who will prevail: buyers or sellers? Watch these areas of support and resistance for the answer.
A close above 1.7000 will reconfirm the uptrend and invalidate my current bearish bias. On the other hand, as $GBPUSD weakens, price targets 1.6600-1.6500. In this zone of support, price will either bottom as buyers step in to push price to new highs above 1.7000 or weakness will continue pushing prices lower still. I am a fan of the former scenario because I believe to get above the huge psychological level at 1.7000, $GBPUSD needs to consolidate still to lower levels. Given the price action, this may take all summer.
Read also: Today’s Appearance on FXStreet’s Live Analysis Room (FMFX)
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