Sterling Digest, 23 January 2014: threshold not target

 

If you repeat it enough, the market will listen. At least that is what the Bank of England is hoping. The UK sits 0.1% away from the unemployment rate threshold at which forward guidance dictates that their central bank would start to consider raising rates. But markets have thrown the word consider aside to side and are breaking out with volatility. With the GBP ripping across the board and the $FTSE falling lower, you have to believe that all the markets are trading on new rate hike expectations when just 12 months ago we were talking about raising quantitative easing. This hawkish change in sentiment is certainly a fundamental change that even technical traders are paying attention to.

 

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